Arab Spring Archive

InfoMullet: Salman Spring

TLDR UpFront: Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman al Saud (MBS) has launched a revolution-from-above as radical as the Arab Spring’s grass roots effort seven years ago. The Prince is dismantling institutional power structures of the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia, attempting to reform its society, government, markets, security forces and even religious establishment. All this

HistoricalMullet: Now you Syria me, now you don’t!

Buried under the lead of the budget battles Friday night and over the weekend is a serious escalation of violence in Syria. I’m not quite ready to call Assad “gone”, in the standpoint of inevitable, irreversible change (hell Gaddahfi’s still hanging in there but I stand by my earlier call it’s just a matter of

HistoricalMullet: As rebels stall near Sirte, US is deploying ground-attack planes.

Interesting note in this NY Times piece. Over the weekend the US deployed 6 A-10 Warthogs and 2 AC-130 Spectre/Spooky Gunships into the Libyan operations. Meanwhile the rebel was able to advance within 30-60km of Sirte, and some scouts were even able to get inside teh city; but the main force was stopped in by pro-Gaddafi

HistoricalMullet: “Congratulation, James, you’ve got your own little war.”

I guess I never saw this coming. Eight years later to the exact day we made our final diplomatic efforts at the Azores Summit prior to invading Iraq, we’re once *again* launching a military action into a nation where we have no compelling national security interests, a vague military mission, no clear exit strategy, and

HistoricalMullet: Tomorrow’s pivot events near Ras Lanuf & in Saud

The majority of fighting seems to be centering on Ras Lanuf, a small oil-depot town just southeast of Sirte. The rebels have yielded the main town area with heavy losses, but still apparently hold onto a refinery. You can google map Ras Lanuf and get a bird’s eye view of just how small a “city” it

HistoricalMullet: Update on Sirte

It seems that efforts are concentrating in and around the Sirte area in Libya. This article describes the pro-Gaddahfi troops besieging Misarata (which is inside the “ring”) leaving to move to the east and reinforce Sirte. Meanwhile this report talks about the regular Army who has defected to the opposition taking over operations in and

HistoricalMullet: Libyan End-Game (Phase I)

Libyan End-Game (Phase I) I think we’re in the final end-game of the first phase of the Libyan Civil War. More on that obtuse wording later.  The opposition forces of the Interim Transitional National Council (hereinafter referred to as “the rebel alliance”) are advancing on Sirte. If Sirte falls, which is a big if, but

HistoricalMullet: Tripwire Scenarios

I totally overlooked this in my “unasked” questions, but things in Libya are falling apart so fast, and Gaddahfi is so nuts crazy, that there may very well end up being a “tripwire” that brings our military into an interventionist posture. 1. Gaddahfi begins a genocide. Although the “scariest” in terms of human catastrophe, this is

HistoricalMullet: Best Live Coverage in Egypt

Coming from Al-Jazeera.(1) (live streaming in english)Amazing what’s going on there, very reminescent of 1989. Sadly I have to go into work. As I was getting ready protesters occupied the 6th of October Bridge (main bridge in Cairo) an armored police vehicle was trying to disperse protesters, that was turned back by the crowds and

HistoricalMullet: Right Here, Right Now

Originally published 1-25-2011 17:04est If you missed the fall of Communism playing out live on TV back in 1989-1990….you can catch a similar series of events – this time over the internet as the contagion of protest spreads over the North African regimes. The black-swan in Tunisia of a man immolating himself in protest, geared up