Libya Archive

InfoMullet: Who can be Sirte-n if its Barqa is worse than its bite?

TLDR Up Front: ISIS has expanded its territorial reach declaring a Willayat in the chaotic ungoverned areas of Libya. But it's not entirely clear the militias there will be as easy to displace as in Syria and it is very unlikely the world will ignore them long enough to gain a foothold.

HistoricalMullet: As rebels stall near Sirte, US is deploying ground-attack planes.

Interesting note in this NY Times piece. Over the weekend the US deployed 6 A-10 Warthogs and 2 AC-130 Spectre/Spooky Gunships into the Libyan operations. Meanwhile the rebel was able to advance within 30-60km of Sirte, and some scouts were even able to get inside teh city; but the main force was stopped in by pro-Gaddafi

HistoricalMullet: It’s not exactly true that we “broke it”, but we certainly do “own it” now.

According to ALJ reporting coallition attacks on Libyan forces are either coordinated with rebel advances or benefit from extremely coincidental timing. Here is an example of two reports bookmarking the battle for Ajdabiyah: 3:00am (local) Reuters reports that Western warplanes bombed Muammar Gaddafi’s tanks and artillery in eastern Libya in an attempt to try to break a battlefield

HistoricalMullet: “Congratulation, James, you’ve got your own little war.”

I guess I never saw this coming. Eight years later to the exact day we made our final diplomatic efforts at the Azores Summit prior to invading Iraq, we’re once *again* launching a military action into a nation where we have no compelling national security interests, a vague military mission, no clear exit strategy, and

HistoricalMullet: Tomorrow’s pivot events near Ras Lanuf & in Saud

The majority of fighting seems to be centering on Ras Lanuf, a small oil-depot town just southeast of Sirte. The rebels have yielded the main town area with heavy losses, but still apparently hold onto a refinery. You can google map Ras Lanuf and get a bird’s eye view of just how small a “city” it

HistoricalMullet: Update on Sirte

It seems that efforts are concentrating in and around the Sirte area in Libya. This article describes the pro-Gaddahfi troops besieging Misarata (which is inside the “ring”) leaving to move to the east and reinforce Sirte. Meanwhile this report talks about the regular Army who has defected to the opposition taking over operations in and

HistoricalMullet: Libyan End-Game (Phase I)

Libyan End-Game (Phase I) I think we’re in the final end-game of the first phase of the Libyan Civil War. More on that obtuse wording later.  The opposition forces of the Interim Transitional National Council (hereinafter referred to as “the rebel alliance”) are advancing on Sirte. If Sirte falls, which is a big if, but

HistoricalMullet: Tripwire Scenarios

I totally overlooked this in my “unasked” questions, but things in Libya are falling apart so fast, and Gaddahfi is so nuts crazy, that there may very well end up being a “tripwire” that brings our military into an interventionist posture. 1. Gaddahfi begins a genocide. Although the “scariest” in terms of human catastrophe, this is