Monthly Archive:: March 2020

InfoMullet: Ashes to Ashes (pt3 of 4)

TLDRUpFront: The third of a four-part series as the United States, and the world, begins tipping-over from COVID-19. As worries about pandemic related violence and instability increase the InfoMullet forecasts the next 12 months across six types of violence. Unlike the pandemic or the economy, our forecast of violence is positive with declining rates in

InfoMullet: The Dictator’s Dilemma – Hong Kong Case Study

TLDRUpFront: Even as the wildfire of COVID19 rages we look ahead to what the world will look like after the first wave. Originally published in November, the Dictator's Dilemma uses the Hong Kong protests to illustrate a crucial dynamic: how small initial calls for reform over legitimate grievances can escalate into mass civil protests, violent street

MulletApp: COVID-19 Rate of Change Interactive Charts by US State (OUTDATED)

TLDRUpFront: An interactive application allowing users to create their own InfoMullet-style COVID-19  Rate of Change Chart comparing 5 US States or Territories updated daily. Rates-of-change help us know where COVID-19 is going in the future and are useful for awareness, education, and advocating government responses.

MulletApp: (OUTDATED) COVID-19 Confirmed Cases Interactive Charts By US State

TLDRUpFront: Due to the continuing struggle for adequate testing, we pulled all applications that relied solely on Confirmed “tested” cases of COVID-19. We have replaced these applications with new ones.  The new applications present Confirmed information as well as forecasts of a calculation of Actual Infected, as well as Deaths, all on the same chart.

MulletApp: COVID-19 Death Rate Interactive Charts by Country

TLDRUpFront: An interactive application allowing users to create their own InfoMullet-style COVID-19  Death Rate Chart comparing 5 countries from a data-set of over 160 updated daily. Death Rates tell us what percentage of the infected are dying and how that is changing over time and are useful for educating why #FlattenTheCurveMatters, awareness, and advocating government

InfoMullet: Pocket full of Posies (pt2 of 4)

TLDRUpFront: The second of a four-part series as the United States, and the world, begins tipping-over from COVID-19. The next nine days are going to be hairy. This InfoMullet focuses on the intermediate economic impact preparing the mental model of readers for what’s going to become apparent between now and March 31st .

InfoMullet: Ring Around the Rosies (pt1 of4)

TLDRUpFront: The first of a four-part series as the United States, and the world, begins tipping-over from COVID-19. The next ten days are going to be hairy. This InfoMullet tries to prepare the mental model of readers for what's to come by making several forecasts of what happens between now and March 31st, and what

InfoMullet: Comparing Five Most Common National Strategies to COVID-19

TLDRUpFront: We examine the five emerging national strategies to confront COVID-19: People’s War, Pandemic Panopticon, Mobilization & Lock Down aka “People’s War Lite”, Fire Break, and Induced Herd Immunity. We contrast this with the recent national approach in most of Europe, the United States and Canada of “business as usual” and how that early response

InfoMullet: The FAQ & the Furious 18 questions to begin asking.

TLDRUpFront: As governments worldwide respond to the COVID-19 pandemic journalists and advocates need to be asking the right questions. This FAQ provides a starting point with eighteen suggested questions to ask government officials at local, state/province, and national levels in developed and developing countries alike.

InfoMullet: (3/24 Update!) COVID curiosity. Outbreak or containment and why #FlattenTheCurve matters.

TLDRUpFront: (3-24 UPDATE) Italy, Spain, and France are all set to exceed China in confirmed cases within the next week. And the United States will surpass even those countries in the next 1-2 weeks with the most confirmed cases globally. Death rates in Italy, Iran, Spain, and France continue to increase as the decline in