Monthly Archive:: January 2026

Lincoln Misses the Play & Trump on the Battle Ropes

TLDRUpFront: Following up on previous analysis the USS Abraham Lincoln is now located at the intersection of the offensive and defensive OODA loops discussed before. That means it is well situated where it needed to be 3 weeks ago in order to both support the Iranian uprisings with a no-fly zone or offensive strikes against

Iranian Protests End without US Intervention or Support

TLDRUpFront: Unfortunately, barring some major change tonight or over the weekend, the Iranian uprisings are over for now. But they may come back in 40 days.

MegaMullet: OODA Loops and OODA Dupes

TLDRUPFront: As violence continues to remain at high levels in Iran, US military forces are poorly positioned to assist. This despite President Trump's claim that 'help is on the way.'

Vibe Statecrafting in Syria, Iran, and Venezuela

TLDRUpFront:A few TLDR thoughts up front on the three international crises and fuller context on Venezuela tomorrow. As both Syria and Iran have entered dangerous periods of instability, Venezuela is chugging along on a status quo.