Coup Archive
07 Aug 2023
Niger Coup risks Regional War
TLDRUpFront: Continuing instability from ISIS & AQ Sahel conflicts and a string of emerging military dictatorships has put the 15-country ECOWAS bloc on a path for a regional war. 'Suspended' ECOWAS members, plus Wagnar are backing Niger's coup, while 'current' members, plus Chad are considering military intervention to restore the former government, likely supported in
10 Jun 2017
InfoMullet: Kabul dodges two bullets.
TLDR Up Front: Negotiations between protest camps blocking routes through the city and President Ghani were facilitated by the lower parliament, which appears to have largely sided with the protesters. The plan goes to the full parliament on Monday for a vote. President Ghani and Dr. Abdullah, the rivals at the heart of the
09 Jun 2017
InfoMullet: The Coming Collapse – Waiting for a Coup in Kabul
TLDR: The Afghan capitol of Kabul has reached the tipping point where conditions are ripe for a coup within as little as a few weeks. In the most likely scenario Abdullah Abdullah, the second highest politician in the country would seek the ouster of President Ghani. Understanding the conditions requires understanding the ethnographic factions
08 Aug 2016
InfoMullet: Anatoldyaso
TLDR Upfront: Aside from obvious short-term civil and human rights concerns arising from Erdogan's purge, a medium-term risk looms large. Turkey's permanent exit off the pathway to European Union membership may signal an end to fifty-five year effort to integrate Turkey and the European mainland. Such a shift, especially if it included ejection from NATO